With the launch of the new match day matrix and a host of new events have been added, we can look to last seasons data and make some educated guesses on who it may benefit based on volume per game.
Why is volume per game important? Well, you need a good number of events in order to compete with other events such as shots, passes and/or crosses which can go into double digits and occur more frequently per 90 mins.
Then you also need to consider things like “stacking” which is the total points a player can achieve when a series of events are combined. For example, a cross which is headed in is made up of: A cross, an accurate cross, an assist and possibly now, a key pass too. All of those come up to a hefty score. A central defender may need 20 aerial duels just to catch up to a full back who’s just assisted a goal. Is that likely to happen? Probably not.
So, firstly let’s take a look at the new events added (exc GKs):
Big Chance Missed: -10pt
Attempted Dribble: 1pt
Successful Dribble: 2pt
Aerial Duel Won: 2pt
Accurate Long Ball: 2pt
Accurate Through Ball: 3pt
Big Chance Created: 3pt
Key Pass: 6pt
Secondary Key Pass: 3pt
Reason why I have excluded GK’s from this analysis is that I feel GK’s will still struggle to challenge for dividends whilst they’re scoring in the same group as defenders even with the addition of new GK focused events – unless they save a penalty which in itself is still a very low volume event.
Now, let’s take a look at 3 of those events in particular as they seem like the ones which are of highest volume per game and could influence base scores for quite a few players.
- Key Pass
- Accurate Long Ball
- Successful Dribble
In a nutshell, I think poor players have the opportunity to become slightly better and challengers to become better and reliable PB players to be even more awesome!!!
DISCLAIMER: This data is from the 18/19 season so some players will have moved clubs or been repositioned so please do your own checks and research before using this data to purchase new players for your portfolios.
How should you use this information?
Research current PB averages and base scores for players and see if the events below will further enhance players scores. Some players do lots of things in high volumes = much better opportunities to win dividends.
For me, the volume of accurate long balls was a big surprise.
Accurate Long Balls
Note the volume of these events. If a player can manage 6 or 7 per game successfully then that’s an additional 14-16 points just for this one event.
I have also included % success so you get an idea of how many attempts were made in total.
Remember, that a dribble attempt gets 1pt so a successful one will actually be worth 3 points (1pt attempt + 2pt successful)
For me, the only event which I think stands out is the accurate long ball – there’s enough volume per game in this event for it to be influential and add to players scores who already score well. Those CDM’s and deep lying playmakers should benefit from this event as they pick the ball up from the back and make those long balls.
Long ball which is also a key pass??? Hmmm. Now there’s a thought.
Dribbles could also influence but the pool of players who dribble successfully more than 3 or 4 times per game is very small.
And finally the key passes event could be huge but I’m still trying to get my head around this one when combined with a pass, through ball and an assist.
So, what do you make of the scoring matrix and each event? Like it? Will it make much difference? Do share your thoughts in the #chat_trading channel on Slack.